Posts Tagged ‘Commodity Trading’

Silver

In the world of investing all that glitters…is sometimes silver.

Without going all technical on yo ass (mental note: lose the gansta-talk when chatting investment) here’s a few compelling reasons to take a look at gold’s sexier single cousin.

Silver, it’s pliable, malleable and on-a-bull…run that is. You’d search far and wide to find a metal that is as corrosion, fatigue or wear resistant. It reflects light, conducts heat, can endure extremes in temperature, it provides catalytic action and is pretty darn good for sterilisation purposes – I won’t go anywhere near a surgeon wielding a wooden scalpel these days.

The demand for silver has outstripped its supply for coming on twenty years (don’t ask me for a source on that one, think a bloke at the pub – Mick – told me). Mick also told me he saw Mariah Carey in the frozen food aisle at Tesco in Clapham, but that’s a story for another time.

It was David Morgan – a guru in the world of silver investment that said: “The US Patent Office issues more patents for silver-based products than any other metal, by a very wide margin” over at Silver-Investor.com.

But in this day and age of austerity measures, debt doubts and currencies of dubious value, what’s important is that, like gold, silver is a store of real value. It’s a physical commodity that laughs at inflation and spits in the direction of fiat currencies.

And to cut to the chase, it’s also now a part of the Investor Trader portfolio (what’s left of it). We jumped on board with a bunch of silver to the tune of £3 a point at $4,084.80 an ounce (hey big spender) on 25th July 2011 and added another £2 a point at $4,166.50 an ounce today.

For those of you looking at taking up a position in gold, silver or any commodity for that matter, City Index has a wonderful trading platform and some of the tightest spreads in the industry. Just so you know, if you use any of the links of Investor Trader I do get a little kickback, so thanks in advance if you do sign up. You’re keeping me off the streets.

Thanks again for dropping by.

Berkeley Mineral Resources and Gold

With our share portfolio in free-fall there’s not much good news coming out of Investor Trader for the moment. That is unless you consider Investor Trader’s new colour scheme news-worthy?

I had hope for Berkeley Mineral Resources (BMR.L) when I fleetingly glanced over last Thursday’s Kabwe tailings JORC results RNS pre market-open. But irrespective of what nuggets it contained, deep down I think I knew the market was always going to shrug its shoulders and continue its southerly trajectory.

The news? Well on the plus side we’re sitting on a higher grade of lead.

Masoud Alikhani, Chairman of BMR had this to say:

“We have confirmed the content of the leach plant tailings to the JORC Measured Standard, and the dumps contain a considerably higher grade of lead than that inferred by the historic assessments. This combined with the Wash Plant tailings gives BMR a significant asset and it is our intention to now begin to maximise its value.

“To this end we have strengthened our management team in Zambia commensurate with our expanding operations in the country. The next stage is to bring the site into production”.

Though on the flip side we only received results for the “central section of the leach plant tailings” despite being promised a little more – a fact that didn’t go unnoticed by many private investors venting on BMR bulletin boards.

Where do I stand? Of course I’d love it if we were powering on plus 10 pence but we’re not.  I’m still loving Berkeley’s direction and to be honest I’m not overly concerned with where the price is at for the minute. When you look at where Berkeley has come from in such a short space of time, you have to forgive them the occasional PR faux pas. I’d love to keep averaging down but unlike the US, I can’t just print me some extra cash.

I feel for many private investors who are into Berkeley deep, but there’s a few factors that help me sleep at night – and at 45% of our portfolio we’re in pretty deep too. I think there’s a long, long way to go with Berkeley and there will be a good news trail to document it. Sooner or later we’ll see a general market correction. When the price does turn – and in my humble there is no doubt it will – it has the potential of turning quickly and dramatically. Losses are only losses when they’re realised. And there’s no way I’m selling in the short term.

On a positive our gold play is killing it, although I must admit to just a touch of nervousness over the weekend as the US attempted to solve it’s debt crisis. But like that was going to happen with an election year in 2012. So political posturing ensured that the debt crisis was hidden behind the couch (okay, there’ll be no default but come on) rather than solved and as a result the gold’s price ascent barely missed a step.

Gold opened slightly lower on Monday but has today again powered on to new highs above $1,640 an ounce. We’re in at £20 a point from an average of $1,530, so we’re currently up over £2,000 in a matter of weeks with our friends over at City Index.

For those of you looking at taking up a position in gold, silver or any commodity for that matter, City Index has a wonderful trading platform and some of the tightest spreads in the industry. Just so you know, if you use any of the links of Investor Trader I do get a little kickback, so thanks in advance if you do sign up. You’re keeping me off the streets.

Let’s hope that my next post contains a little more good share news. Here’s hoping that whatever you’re holding, things are on up the up. Thanks again for dropping by.

A Great Week For Gold

Fuelled by the possibility that the US may soon default on its debt – to avoid default, US politicians have to agree to raise the country’s debt limit by 2nd August 2011 – coupled with the imminent announcement of the European Banking Authority’s stress tests on 90 banks across Europe, it was a bumper period for our gold play last week.

Gold has long been seen as a primary haven purchase in times of economic uncertainty. And there’s no doubting that these are uncertain times.

We’re long on gold at £20 a point (averaged in at $1,530.65 USD per ounce with a stop at $1,477.50 USD per ounce) so last weeks 50 point rise from $1,543 USD to $1,593 per ounce added roughly £1,000 to our City Index account (one week gold chart below courtesy of SharePrice.co.uk).

 

If we can get the strong start to the week that I’m expecting and gold pushes through – untested but natural resistance at – $1,600 per ounce I’ll be doing a little technical homework and looking to bring that stop in to below support levels a tad closer to our purchase price.

I’m hesitant to rush this move because of the magnitude of world economic events at the moment. Short term price swings can be violent and you can be stopped out in a matter of minutes if you’re playing an overly cautious hand.

Again long-term I’m very hopeful for the continuation of gold’s primary trend that hasn’t looked like reversing for years – with the exception of a short-to-mid-term blip in 2008 (five year gold chart below courtesy of SharePrice.co.uk)..

 

Commodities trading certainly isn’t for everyone but if you fancy trying to make a quid out of gold or silver, oil, coffee, cocoa or wheat for that matter then you’ll be in the best possible hands at City Index. Now I do go a little kickback if you sign up to City Index using the links on Investor Trader but I’ve been using and recommending City Index for a long time before this website was even a cyber-idea.

Thanks again for dropping by.

Buys and Sells and Gold

Lots going on, but I’m heading off – on holidays that is. A midsummer week of island-hopping in Scandinavia. Now if that sun would just re-appear.

I’m usually not one to scare too easily but today – with a week away from the keyboard coming up and the way things are heading on AIM – I’ve had a bit of a sell-off, turning four of our holdings to cash and dipping in for a cheeky top-up on one share, that – in my humble opinion – has been way over-sold. Time will tell.

Believe it or not the four shares we’ve liquidated have all turned a little profit and in the case of one in particular, a very nice return. But more on that on my return.

I’ve also topped up our holding of gold over at City Index.

It feels good to be actively trading again and not sitting back watching any profits I’ve made go down the gurgler. We’re still nursing paper losses on half a dozen shares but in most of those cases the reasons I bought have not changed – and the losses aren’t huge – so I’m happy to hold and see what transpires.

Over the coming weeks and months I’ll be looking to turn that cash back into holdings. I won’t be rushing. Patience is the key here. But when things turn – as they always do sooner or later – I’ve got a nice little bit of cash to put back into the market.

Thanks again for dropping by. May your portfolios swim in a sea of blue!

A Golden Update

It’s been a bit of a rocky road for our gold play over the past few weeks since we got on board in late April at just a notch above $1,500 an ounce. The one month chart (below – courtesy of SharePrice.co.uk) shows the spot price for gold rocketed to over $1,560 an ounce in late April before returning those gains (and then some) sharpish in the first fortnight of May.

The 12 month chart (below) makes for a little more optimistic viewing in the mid- to long-term but after taking a closer look at the three more substantial short-term downtrends (June through August 2010, January 2011 and now) I decided to top up my City Index trading account so as to put a more realistic stop loss in place.

So – in very rough terms – each of those three more sizeable downtrends in the past 12 months wiped the best part of 80 points off the spot price of gold. Now provided the long term price of gold continues to hold it’s upward trajectory, I need to be able to ride out a swing of that magnitude (at least early on) to stay in my trade and profit from what I expect to be longer term gains going forward.

Obviously there’s nothing to say that the next turn in trend won’t be a primary reversal rather than a short-term swing or that what’s happened in the past will happen again but that’s what I’ve punted on and that’s why I’ve allowed for a stop that will cater for more of the same magnitude of reversals that have taken place in the past 12 months. Historical data is about as a concrete as things get in this game.

For those who missed it, my original order was the purchase of gold (June 2011) at £10 a point at $1,502 per ounce. To begin with I had an overly optimistic stop in place at $1,492 per ounce. A tight stop is fine if a trade kicks off in your favour straight from the off but can have you stopped out in less time than it takes to put the kettle on if things turn against you straight away. Thankfully, in the case of this particular trade things went well to begin with and my more realistic updated stop of $1,416 an ounce has seen me weather the latest 80 point drop from a price north of $1,560 an ounce.

There is definitely a little less optimism in commodities (particularly gold and silver) now than there was even a month ago and with the US dollar beginning to strengthen against the Euro, the Pound and the Yen it could be an interesting month or two coming up.

The bottom line as it stands, well, it could be better. After tasting gains in the region of £550 early on, we’re currently down around £260 on this trade. But in the world of commodity trading, it’s another trading day tomorrow, hell, with trading around the clock, it’s another trading day tomorrow, today somewhere.

If anyone’s looking to trade in gold, or any commodity for that matter, check out City Index for some of the tightest spreads and the best trading platform in the industry.

Thanks again for dropping by.


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Disclaimer: Investor Trader is the blog of a single, personal investor. The owner of this blog is not a citizen of the United Kingdom nor is he based in the United Kingdom and the blog is not hosted in the United Kingdom. The owner has never received any form of compensation for providing investment recommendations and has never in the past been employed in any capacity where he has provided investment recommendations. Investor Trader does not make investment recommendations and no information displayed on its pages should be considered as investment advice. Nothing on Investor Trader should be interpreted as a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or investments. All trades are first reported on Investor Trader at least a day or two after the fact (but more often a week or two), never live. Investor Trader is here to journal my attempts to make a few quid from the markets and possibly to entertain you a little into the bargain. Please, please, please, do your own piles of research and if you want good investment advice go out and find someone who does this sort of thing for a living (i.e. not me). Most of my investment decisions are based on gut feelings, hearsay, unfounded rumour and whether or not I like the cut of a company logo. You've been warned!
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