Posts Tagged ‘Edenville Energy’

Cherry Picking Profitable AIM Shares

A couple of weeks ago now – prior to a little mid-summer rest and relaxationI penned a post (with one foot out the door) in which I fleetingly mentioned the fact we’d liquidated a number of holdings and topped up on one in particular I thought a little over-sold.

There wasn’t any great financial nous behind that decision, no fundamental or technical analysis. Charts weren’t poured over, ratios weren’t examined, calendars of upcoming financial events were not consulted.

I got what’s know in bad economic times as the heebee-jeebies, the financial jitters. It’s a desire, neigh necessity, to take what profit you can and head for the hills. And that was what pretty much what I did. I took anything that had made me a quid or two over recent times and hit the sell button.

That day we sold:

Asian Citrus Holdings (ACHL.L): 1,270 shares at 57.4 pence a share for a return of £729.

Dominion Petroleum (DPL.L): 18,806 shares at 5.11 pence a share for a return of £961.

Entertainment One (ETO.L): 900 shares at £1.62 a share for a return of £1,458.

Hutchison China Meditech (HCM.L): 200 shares at £4.30 a share for a return of £860.

Now cherry-picking profitable holdings to liquidate in a market downtrend should not form the basis of a sound financial strategy. Of that I’m pretty sure.

When an AIM-listed company maintains its price through the tough times like we’ve endured recently, surely it should act as a beacon; this is a company that should be part of a balanced portfolio whatever the market is doing.

It’s the train-wrecks I should be selling off, no?

Well that’s one way to look at it.

There’s still a part of me that wants to profit from every trade. And to be perfectly honest even with the bashing many AIM shares have taken lately, I still believe strongly in all of the speculative shares I hold in my portfolio.

For the most part the fundamental reasons I bought in to the Atlantic Coals, the Berkeley Mineral Resources and the Stellar Diamonds of this world have not changed for the worse. In fact some have changed dramatically for the better (but more on that and our most recent BIG purchase in our next post).

So by cherry picking those shares that have maintained their price through a slump it allows me to take advantage of those more speculative shares that have entered into over-sold territory.

It’s macro-economic events that have forced the hand of many an investor. And anyone with a nose for a bargain should be rubbing their hands together – if not now – then in the coming months.

I’m already excited by the opportunities out there at the minute. Companies that six months ago I thought I may have missed the boat on are bouncing around at bargain basement prices.

And with a little luck and some timely investing, maybe just maybe we can come out of this dip in a better position financially then when we entered.

Thanks again for dropping by.

Investing or Actively Trading?

Despite the fact that I like to think of myself as a long-term investor – albeit with a speculative bent – part of me wishes I took advantage of short-term gains a little more often. Sure, I look for shares with the potential for explosive growth but when that explosive growth comes I rarely think of the resultant price as an over-bought position, as a point to profit, but rather as a re-rating, a confirmation of my homework and the reasons I invested in the company to begin with.

Occasionally I’ll take a chunk of profit reasonably early on but without a large fundamental change in the company’s direction, I can rarely justify selling up completely, massive initial gain or not.

It’s the old investor versus trader struggle that rages inside everyone who’s ever let a buck or two loose on the markets.

To illustrate my point lets take a quick technical look at two shares in our portfolio that both put on massive gains within weeks of our purchase. Two shares that have since slided dramatically. Two shares which – to my chagrin – remain in our portfolio. Now don’t get me wrong, I’ve still got faith in both in the long term, it’s just that some clever buying and selling in the interim could have seen me sitting on a much larger holding.

Atlantic Coal – We bought into Atlantic on 12th November 2010 at 0.41 pence a share before they rocketed to highs above 1.75 pence a share early in 2011.

Our entry was perfect almost down to the day. Within a month we’d amassed gains in excess of 300% and yet here we are seven months down the track and Atlantic Coal has closed the day’s trading at .485 pence.

Without the graph below (courtesy of our mates at SharePrice.co.uk) to track the journey to .485 pence you’d say that the 15% growth from .41 to .485 pence represents a nice return on investment in seven months. But the heartbreak is in the path it took to get there.

 

Edenville Energy – We bought into Edenville the day before we took up our Atlantic Coal shares – 11th November 2010 – at 0.88 pence a share. Again – in retrospect – our entry was practically perfect to the day and again the price climbed dramatically (nearly as dramatically as Atlantic Coal’s) almost touching on 2.50 pence a share early in 2011. And again I sat back and watched the price slide to the point where it’s now trading at 0.755 pence a share.

 

Is it stubbornness behind our reason to hold even when we know a trend has turned for the worse? Is it optimism? Perhaps it’s greed? I think it’s probably a little of all three and the fact that maybe my knowledge of the markets isn’t what it could be. Maybe I’m yet to find the balance between investing and actively trading. I’d love to hear your views and experiences in the comments below, especially as to how they pertain to the first half of 2011.

I know one thing for sure, it’s optimism that keeps me buttering up for more.

Is that a double bottom I notice in Atlantic’s one month chart? Hmmm.

Thanks again for dropping by.

13 UK Shares on AIM

You’ll have to excuse this post, it’s a little self indulgent and – as Lucy from Entertainment One has kindly pointed out – incorrectly titled, since Entertainment One moved to the main board in July 2010.

I wanted to throw the recent (three months in this case) charts of all our holdings together in the one place so I can get a bit of a feel of what’s looking good (and what’s looking not so good) technically speaking as we punch on in to 2011.

Usually I’d do this sort of thing without posting it but what the heck. So with a million thank-yous to our friends at SharePrice.co.uk (free real time prices and charts – you better believe it) here are the three month charts of the 13 equities we currently hold.

Alecto Energy

Asian Citrus

Atlantic Coal

Berkeley Mineral Resources

Cosalt

Dominion Petroleum

Edenville Energy

Entertainment One

Herencia Resources

Hutchison China Meditech

MeDaVinci

Pan Pacific Aggregates

Stellar Diamonds

So that’s the lot of them. Love your thoughts in the comments below. Thanks again for dropping by.

Hitting £100K in 2011

Like Santa and his helpers, late December proved to be a busy period for Investor Trader. On December 17th we completed five trades and then backed up again on the 30th with a further three (including a couple of purchase from our list of 17 potentials I wrote about last week). But more about that soon.

Now, if we’re to hit the magical million by April 2014, then 2011 has to see us get somewhere close to £100K (at least). We’ve got to step it up a little.

Unfortunately I don’t have the exact figures to back this up but I think we begun 2010 around the £7K mark and ended up just shy of £21K (£20,954 to be precise). 300% is a nice return in anyone’s language, though a return isn’t a return until it’s all sold up and sitting in your bank account, but for arguments sake…

So we’re upping the stakes and looking at 500% this year – it’s a huge call I know but as my portfolio value grows I find myself putting more time into this little venture and when you invest the time you tend to get the results. Maybe 500% is pushing it, maybe not. I’m pretty happy with a number of shares in our current portfolio mix and I expect 2011 to start with a bang for shares like Berkeley Mineral Resources, Atlantic Coal and Edenville Energy.

In a way getting to £20K was the easy part. I mean gambling with the initial investment of three shares worth £3.5K you can only lose £3.5K and although the potential investments are out there, you’re limited with what you can get your hands on.

The higher the value of your portfolio, the more there is to lose but with that value and depth comes options. As I type our portfolio lists 13 shares that I can trim a little or sell outright to move funds to another investment. In the beginning there was three. You can see the limitations.

It’s no secret I love highly risky investments and that’s why this time next year a portfolio of £100K is a possibility. As is a portfolio valued at £5K. With potential reward comes risk. Every silver lining has a cloud.

I think the key to 2011 for Investor Trader will be not to over or under trade our account. When you’re dealing with the speculative end of the market, money moves so quickly, it’s important to act just a quickly. It takes a little courage to profit take from a share that’s rocketing and start again with another investment that is yet to make its move. It can be easy to sit back and hold rather than try and ride the highs and low.

Of equal importance is to stick to your initial assessments and not get spooked when discussion turns negative based on hearsay. In fact if I’ve learnt anything in the past 12 months, it’s that these periods of negativity tend to be excellent buying opportunities as the Market Makers are happy to take discounted shares off those who are running for the hills.

Anyway, better wrap this up before it becomes another directionless rant. If nothing else it’ll be interesting to see where we are at when we re-visit the numbers again in January 2012.

Thanks again for dropping by and your continued support in 2010. I hope 2011 is a great year for you and your own portfolios and I look forward to sharing all the ups and downs with you.

Purchase – Edenville Energy

The remodelling of our portfolio took another small step last Thursday with the purchase of 137,204 shares of Edenville Energy at .88 pence a share.

Edenville you say, who are they and what do they do? This from the Edenville Energy website:

Edenville Energy PLC is the holding company of a mineral exploration and development group focusing on energy commodity opportunities in Africa. The Group is led by a management team who have international experience of energy minerals and mining in emerging markets worldwide. The Group’s objective is to undertake mineral exploration of its portfolio of assets and ultimately to increase the value of its assets through the development of these resources and where appropriate, commence production of these economically feasible assets.

Edenville’s key project (there are further prospective coal and uranium projects in the pipeline) is the Rukwa Coalfields project in Southern Tanzania.

Now without going into details that get geologists all giggly – ash content, volatile matter and sulphur percentages – grab samples from surface coal seam exposures at the Rukwa Coalfield project results indicate the coal quality would be suitable for use in power generation and also industrial uses in cement, paper and fertilizer manufacture. (More info in the RNS from September 30, 2010)

Not bad for 75K!

Then these words from Simon Rollason, Chairman of Edenville:

“These initial results from our field investigations are highly encouraging and confirm the occurrence of thermal quality coal. It is our intention to work towards establishing a maiden resource estimate at Namwele for an open pit coal mine by the end of 2011. We have acquired a number of highly prospective, shallow, coal assets to which Edenville will look to rapidly add value to through exploration and development. I look forward to announcing further results, as work continues on the Edenville coal portfolio.”

So with a little good news regarding drill targets due in Q4 2010, we could see a nice return on investment for a share currently trading at under a pence. As always, do a ton of your own research and never invest coin you can’t afford to lose. Thanks for dropping by.


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Disclaimer: Investor Trader is the blog of a single, personal investor. The owner of this blog is not a citizen of the United Kingdom nor is he based in the United Kingdom and the blog is not hosted in the United Kingdom. The owner has never received any form of compensation for providing investment recommendations and has never in the past been employed in any capacity where he has provided investment recommendations. Investor Trader does not make investment recommendations and no information displayed on its pages should be considered as investment advice. Nothing on Investor Trader should be interpreted as a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or investments. All trades are first reported on Investor Trader at least a day or two after the fact (but more often a week or two), never live. Investor Trader is here to journal my attempts to make a few quid from the markets and possibly to entertain you a little into the bargain. Please, please, please, do your own piles of research and if you want good investment advice go out and find someone who does this sort of thing for a living (i.e. not me). Most of my investment decisions are based on gut feelings, hearsay, unfounded rumour and whether or not I like the cut of a company logo. You've been warned!
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