Posts Tagged ‘gold’

Norseman Gold Results

Reassurance that Norseman Gold is getting operations back on track came in the form of their third quarter results released Tuesday 1st May 2012.

We wrote about Norseman a couple of weeks ago, having taken up 41,768 shares at 3.92 pence in late March (Norseman shares have changed hands at well over 60 pence within the past 18 months). It was a very speculative buy at best and one based entirely on Norseman’s intention to conduct a “complete review of operations“.

Norseman’s problem has never been lack of gold – they own Australia’s longest continuously running gold mining operation, which has produced over 5.5 million ounces of gold over a period of more than 70 years. Their trouble of late has been extracting that gold at a price that makes their operations profitable.

With their review of operations complete, the “resultant restructuring programme” can now be implemented with a “return to basics” approach to cost minimisation. Their third quarter results showed progress in this direction.

Here are a few of the highlights:

  • Operations have seen dramatic cost reductions since 1 January 2012.
  • Production activity is being focussed on mining from the North Royal Open Pit (North Royal) to generate positive cashflow. The short term Mine Plan has identified an Indicated JORC Resource of 200,000 tonnes @ 6g gold (Au) and an Inferred JORC Resource of 200,000 tonnes @ 6g Au. Additional Resources are minable at North Royal, with the aim being to produce 80,000 ounces of gold from these Resources over the next 12 months.
  • Pre-strip at North Royal is now well advanced with higher grade hard rock now exposed. A new optimised pit design and schedule for North Royal is nearing completion and importantly mining is already continuing at an accelerated rate.
  • Gold production for the quarter ended 31 March 2012 was 6,258 ounces. Gold production since the end of the quarter has increased and the mill is currently operating 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.
  • Strategy to become a consistent 100,000 ounce gold producer within one year is in place with the additional aim of increasing our resource base through both mine and regional exploration – current resources inventory of 3.4 million ounces of gold at an average grade 4.7 grams per tonne.

So we’ve cherry-picked a few of the report’s highlights above – you can obtain the full results in a pdf format from the Norseman Gold website.

I like the way Norseman have initially focussed production on North Royal – looking to begin this new phase of the company with mining they believe to be profitable in the short term – before putting in place new mine plans and schedules for Harlequin (and all going well OK, Bullen and Crown in the future). It’s a systematic approach that seems in line with their new “return to basics” philosophy and one that importantly looks to minimise cash burn and maximise savings in the early stages of their turnaround.

Whilst production for the quarter (6,258 ounces) is still well off Norseman’s 25,000 ounce target, with operations now continuing around the clock, I’m confident we’ll see a significant increase in those figures come early August.

For those of you looking for a little more information on where Norseman is at and where they’re heading, there’s an informative piece over at Minesite (free registration required) that was published recently.

Thanks again for dropping by.

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Norseman Gold

So we’ve been trawling the depths of AIM for months now adding distressed companies to a dossier of potential turnarounds. It’s a bulging bundle, but I am an optimist by nature.

Our latest investment, Norseman Gold – like many companies we’ve bought into over the years – has certainly seen better days (we added 41,768 shares of Norseman to our portfolio at 3.92 pence a share on 20th March 2012). When looking to add a holding to our portfolio, better days usually equates to higher prices so provided a few criterion are met, I’m happy to trade recent bad performance for a battered share price and a low entry point.

And Norseman’s share price is battered.

 

Now that chart (thanks to Share Price) alone would send many investors with even an iota of risk aversion about them, running for the hills. So when the negatives are staring you in the face, you’ve really got to isolate the positives and come to your own conclusions as to whether the company has a future.

If you conclude it does have a future, those very market mechanisms that dragged the share price to those depths can pull it back up…..and quick. If it does have a future?

Whenever I research a company I try to avoid dredging up too much old information. If we assume the dynamism of the market we by proxy assume that old information has – to a large degree – been factored into the current share price.

In the case of Norseman, recent events add further weight to the case for cleaning the slate and taking a fresh look at where the company is and where it’s heading rather than where it’s been. But more on that in a moment.

Like people, companies can and do change – personnel change, company directions change, methods change, market conditions obviously change, it’s a minefield of information (or a goldfield in this case) so it’s important to extract the relevant, current information and leave the information tailings (pardon the pun) out of the equation.

Question: So what’s new, current and relevant at Norseman? Answer: Lots!

But I’m getting a little ahead of myself. For those of you new to the world of Norseman Gold Plc here’s what they’re about:

Norseman Gold plc is an AIM and ASX listed gold production and exploration company. Its key asset is the Norseman Project, which lies at the southern extent of the Norseman-Wiluna Greenstone Belt in the Eastern Goldfields Province of the Yilgarn Block, Western Australia. The Norseman Project is operated and managed by resource specialist, Tulla Resources Group Pty Ltd, which is focussed on producing 100,000 ounces of gold per annum by 2014 and increasing the resource base, currently standing at 3.4 million ounces of gold at an average grade of 4.7g/t. A review of operations is currently underway aimed at maximising future production and reducing costs.

Now in that snippet of company information there’s a lot to like. Besides the information itself, the very fact that recently released information has made it to the company home page shows us there’s healthy level of importance placed on investor relations. If you’ve ever gone digging for company information yourself, you’ll know (that outside of what they’re required to publish) there’s some AIM listed company website home-pages out there in dire need of an update.

Without getting all tied up in Norseman minutia (if you want to get knee deep in Norseman numbers here’s a link to their most recent half yeary accounts) lets take a look at some of the key points from that report’s Chairman’s Statement.

Since the period end (31 December 2011), Norseman Gold has undergone significant structural changes to strengthen its balance sheet and improve its future production profile and financial performance. This restructuring process has seen Australian resource specialist Tulla Resources Group Pty Ltd (‘Tulla’) assume management and operational control of the Norseman Gold Project with a view to lowering operating costs, producing a consistent 100,000 ounces per annum within two years and increasing the project’s current resource inventory of 3.4 million ounces of gold at an average grade of 4.7 g/t through mine and regional exploration. In addition, with Tulla’s assistance, the Group is focussed on strengthening its Board and key management team to facilitate the onward development of the Norseman Gold Project, with the Group retaining ownership of the mine and equipment and overseeing manager performance.

Tulla, through its associated company, L2 Project Management – Norseman Pty Ltd (‘L2 PM’), is currently developing a defined strategy and mine plan for three years based on profitability, which we hope to update shareholders on in the next quarter report due by the end of April 2012. Its initial forward plan outlined in the announcement dated 16 February 2012, indicated that it believed a relatively early turnaround in operations was achievable. The Norseman Gold Project’s ability to generate significant revenues has been demonstrated by its previous performance, when in 2009, at a time when only two of the mines were operational, a total of c. 80,000 ounces of gold was produced. In order to rapidly increase the financial performance of the project and husband cash reserves, the decision was made to put the under-performing Bullen and OK mines on care and maintenance until the review has been completed. This does not mean the Group has abandoned these mines, but provides it with the flexibility to fully re-assess the mine plan and ensure it can be optimised while preventing the drain on cash reserves created by under-performing mines.

I guess time will tell if new management with an eye for cutting costs and a defined strategy and mine plan coupled with a bullish outlook for the price of gold can see Norseman bounce back into profitability. The price certainly is attractive.

I for one eagerly await the next quarterly report due out by the end of April.

Thanks again for dropping by.

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Euro Resolution and Bargain Hunting

Well, it’s a fact. There is now no denying it. I am a fair-weather blogger.  Since the markets began their free-fall, I’ve barely let out a whimper. So again, allow to me apologise.

Now I’m not the only one. I’ve noticed quite a few other financial bloggers have fallen off the radar a little since this whole Euro mess kicked off. What can I say, it’s a lot easier to put pen to paper when you’re making a little coin into the bargain.

So what have I been up to? I had taken refuge in gold – riding that lovely precious medal from a little over $1,500 USD an ounce to up over $1,900 and then way back down to $1,600. All that in the space of mere months. It’s not a place for the financial faint-of-heart.

Now I could never be branded risk averse but volatility like that had me taking cover…for the time being. If gold re-visits $1,400 (and who’s to say it won’t) I may jump back in, but for the time being it all feels a little too much like flipping a coin.

In fact it seems as if the play-book for market movement has been thrown out the window of late.

Obviously UK shares are down across the board almost without exception. But there seems to be some inordinately gloomy valuations across many of the AIM shares I’m tracking. Are these valuations now realistic? Have the goal-posts shifted for good? Or will we look back at this period and kick ourselves for not going on a bit of a spending spree? The optimist in me says it’s time to buy but there’s been a growing level of pessimism seeping into the thought process behind any trading decisions.

It’s harder than ever to hit that buy button despite what appears to be bargains aplenty.

Having said that I’ve gone almost all in on Berkeley Mineral Resources. Our portfolio now features 309,000 of those little bad boys averaged in at 3.69 pence a share.

I’ve had price alerts getting hit almost daily on a number of other AIM shares I’m tracking but to be honest the headlines are about as far as I get into the financial news at the moment.

Maybe it’s time to get serious about bargain hunting. I mean there’s undervalued and ridiculously undervalued right? And when this thing corrects (if a correction is indeed what will happen) it could all happen very quickly.

I’d love to hear your suggestions on anything you think is grossly undervalued and why? What’s on your shopping list? Or are you sitting on your hands until this whole Euro thing plays out?

Thanks again for dropping by.

Berkeley Mineral Resources and Gold

With our share portfolio in free-fall there’s not much good news coming out of Investor Trader for the moment. That is unless you consider Investor Trader’s new colour scheme news-worthy?

I had hope for Berkeley Mineral Resources (BMR.L) when I fleetingly glanced over last Thursday’s Kabwe tailings JORC results RNS pre market-open. But irrespective of what nuggets it contained, deep down I think I knew the market was always going to shrug its shoulders and continue its southerly trajectory.

The news? Well on the plus side we’re sitting on a higher grade of lead.

Masoud Alikhani, Chairman of BMR had this to say:

“We have confirmed the content of the leach plant tailings to the JORC Measured Standard, and the dumps contain a considerably higher grade of lead than that inferred by the historic assessments. This combined with the Wash Plant tailings gives BMR a significant asset and it is our intention to now begin to maximise its value.

“To this end we have strengthened our management team in Zambia commensurate with our expanding operations in the country. The next stage is to bring the site into production”.

Though on the flip side we only received results for the “central section of the leach plant tailings” despite being promised a little more – a fact that didn’t go unnoticed by many private investors venting on BMR bulletin boards.

Where do I stand? Of course I’d love it if we were powering on plus 10 pence but we’re not.  I’m still loving Berkeley’s direction and to be honest I’m not overly concerned with where the price is at for the minute. When you look at where Berkeley has come from in such a short space of time, you have to forgive them the occasional PR faux pas. I’d love to keep averaging down but unlike the US, I can’t just print me some extra cash.

I feel for many private investors who are into Berkeley deep, but there’s a few factors that help me sleep at night – and at 45% of our portfolio we’re in pretty deep too. I think there’s a long, long way to go with Berkeley and there will be a good news trail to document it. Sooner or later we’ll see a general market correction. When the price does turn – and in my humble there is no doubt it will – it has the potential of turning quickly and dramatically. Losses are only losses when they’re realised. And there’s no way I’m selling in the short term.

On a positive our gold play is killing it, although I must admit to just a touch of nervousness over the weekend as the US attempted to solve it’s debt crisis. But like that was going to happen with an election year in 2012. So political posturing ensured that the debt crisis was hidden behind the couch (okay, there’ll be no default but come on) rather than solved and as a result the gold’s price ascent barely missed a step.

Gold opened slightly lower on Monday but has today again powered on to new highs above $1,640 an ounce. We’re in at £20 a point from an average of $1,530, so we’re currently up over £2,000 in a matter of weeks with our friends over at City Index.

For those of you looking at taking up a position in gold, silver or any commodity for that matter, City Index has a wonderful trading platform and some of the tightest spreads in the industry. Just so you know, if you use any of the links of Investor Trader I do get a little kickback, so thanks in advance if you do sign up. You’re keeping me off the streets.

Let’s hope that my next post contains a little more good share news. Here’s hoping that whatever you’re holding, things are on up the up. Thanks again for dropping by.

A Great Week For Gold

Fuelled by the possibility that the US may soon default on its debt – to avoid default, US politicians have to agree to raise the country’s debt limit by 2nd August 2011 – coupled with the imminent announcement of the European Banking Authority’s stress tests on 90 banks across Europe, it was a bumper period for our gold play last week.

Gold has long been seen as a primary haven purchase in times of economic uncertainty. And there’s no doubting that these are uncertain times.

We’re long on gold at £20 a point (averaged in at $1,530.65 USD per ounce with a stop at $1,477.50 USD per ounce) so last weeks 50 point rise from $1,543 USD to $1,593 per ounce added roughly £1,000 to our City Index account (one week gold chart below courtesy of SharePrice.co.uk).

 

If we can get the strong start to the week that I’m expecting and gold pushes through – untested but natural resistance at – $1,600 per ounce I’ll be doing a little technical homework and looking to bring that stop in to below support levels a tad closer to our purchase price.

I’m hesitant to rush this move because of the magnitude of world economic events at the moment. Short term price swings can be violent and you can be stopped out in a matter of minutes if you’re playing an overly cautious hand.

Again long-term I’m very hopeful for the continuation of gold’s primary trend that hasn’t looked like reversing for years – with the exception of a short-to-mid-term blip in 2008 (five year gold chart below courtesy of SharePrice.co.uk)..

 

Commodities trading certainly isn’t for everyone but if you fancy trying to make a quid out of gold or silver, oil, coffee, cocoa or wheat for that matter then you’ll be in the best possible hands at City Index. Now I do go a little kickback if you sign up to City Index using the links on Investor Trader but I’ve been using and recommending City Index for a long time before this website was even a cyber-idea.

Thanks again for dropping by.


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