Posts Tagged ‘gold mining’

Norseman Gold Results

Reassurance that Norseman Gold is getting operations back on track came in the form of their third quarter results released Tuesday 1st May 2012.

We wrote about Norseman a couple of weeks ago, having taken up 41,768 shares at 3.92 pence in late March (Norseman shares have changed hands at well over 60 pence within the past 18 months). It was a very speculative buy at best and one based entirely on Norseman’s intention to conduct a “complete review of operations“.

Norseman’s problem has never been lack of gold – they own Australia’s longest continuously running gold mining operation, which has produced over 5.5 million ounces of gold over a period of more than 70 years. Their trouble of late has been extracting that gold at a price that makes their operations profitable.

With their review of operations complete, the “resultant restructuring programme” can now be implemented with a “return to basics” approach to cost minimisation. Their third quarter results showed progress in this direction.

Here are a few of the highlights:

  • Operations have seen dramatic cost reductions since 1 January 2012.
  • Production activity is being focussed on mining from the North Royal Open Pit (North Royal) to generate positive cashflow. The short term Mine Plan has identified an Indicated JORC Resource of 200,000 tonnes @ 6g gold (Au) and an Inferred JORC Resource of 200,000 tonnes @ 6g Au. Additional Resources are minable at North Royal, with the aim being to produce 80,000 ounces of gold from these Resources over the next 12 months.
  • Pre-strip at North Royal is now well advanced with higher grade hard rock now exposed. A new optimised pit design and schedule for North Royal is nearing completion and importantly mining is already continuing at an accelerated rate.
  • Gold production for the quarter ended 31 March 2012 was 6,258 ounces. Gold production since the end of the quarter has increased and the mill is currently operating 24 hours a day, 7 days a week.
  • Strategy to become a consistent 100,000 ounce gold producer within one year is in place with the additional aim of increasing our resource base through both mine and regional exploration – current resources inventory of 3.4 million ounces of gold at an average grade 4.7 grams per tonne.

So we’ve cherry-picked a few of the report’s highlights above – you can obtain the full results in a pdf format from the Norseman Gold website.

I like the way Norseman have initially focussed production on North Royal – looking to begin this new phase of the company with mining they believe to be profitable in the short term – before putting in place new mine plans and schedules for Harlequin (and all going well OK, Bullen and Crown in the future). It’s a systematic approach that seems in line with their new “return to basics” philosophy and one that importantly looks to minimise cash burn and maximise savings in the early stages of their turnaround.

Whilst production for the quarter (6,258 ounces) is still well off Norseman’s 25,000 ounce target, with operations now continuing around the clock, I’m confident we’ll see a significant increase in those figures come early August.

For those of you looking for a little more information on where Norseman is at and where they’re heading, there’s an informative piece over at Minesite (free registration required) that was published recently.

Thanks again for dropping by.

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Norseman Gold

So we’ve been trawling the depths of AIM for months now adding distressed companies to a dossier of potential turnarounds. It’s a bulging bundle, but I am an optimist by nature.

Our latest investment, Norseman Gold – like many companies we’ve bought into over the years – has certainly seen better days (we added 41,768 shares of Norseman to our portfolio at 3.92 pence a share on 20th March 2012). When looking to add a holding to our portfolio, better days usually equates to higher prices so provided a few criterion are met, I’m happy to trade recent bad performance for a battered share price and a low entry point.

And Norseman’s share price is battered.

 

Now that chart (thanks to Share Price) alone would send many investors with even an iota of risk aversion about them, running for the hills. So when the negatives are staring you in the face, you’ve really got to isolate the positives and come to your own conclusions as to whether the company has a future.

If you conclude it does have a future, those very market mechanisms that dragged the share price to those depths can pull it back up…..and quick. If it does have a future?

Whenever I research a company I try to avoid dredging up too much old information. If we assume the dynamism of the market we by proxy assume that old information has – to a large degree – been factored into the current share price.

In the case of Norseman, recent events add further weight to the case for cleaning the slate and taking a fresh look at where the company is and where it’s heading rather than where it’s been. But more on that in a moment.

Like people, companies can and do change – personnel change, company directions change, methods change, market conditions obviously change, it’s a minefield of information (or a goldfield in this case) so it’s important to extract the relevant, current information and leave the information tailings (pardon the pun) out of the equation.

Question: So what’s new, current and relevant at Norseman? Answer: Lots!

But I’m getting a little ahead of myself. For those of you new to the world of Norseman Gold Plc here’s what they’re about:

Norseman Gold plc is an AIM and ASX listed gold production and exploration company. Its key asset is the Norseman Project, which lies at the southern extent of the Norseman-Wiluna Greenstone Belt in the Eastern Goldfields Province of the Yilgarn Block, Western Australia. The Norseman Project is operated and managed by resource specialist, Tulla Resources Group Pty Ltd, which is focussed on producing 100,000 ounces of gold per annum by 2014 and increasing the resource base, currently standing at 3.4 million ounces of gold at an average grade of 4.7g/t. A review of operations is currently underway aimed at maximising future production and reducing costs.

Now in that snippet of company information there’s a lot to like. Besides the information itself, the very fact that recently released information has made it to the company home page shows us there’s healthy level of importance placed on investor relations. If you’ve ever gone digging for company information yourself, you’ll know (that outside of what they’re required to publish) there’s some AIM listed company website home-pages out there in dire need of an update.

Without getting all tied up in Norseman minutia (if you want to get knee deep in Norseman numbers here’s a link to their most recent half yeary accounts) lets take a look at some of the key points from that report’s Chairman’s Statement.

Since the period end (31 December 2011), Norseman Gold has undergone significant structural changes to strengthen its balance sheet and improve its future production profile and financial performance. This restructuring process has seen Australian resource specialist Tulla Resources Group Pty Ltd (‘Tulla’) assume management and operational control of the Norseman Gold Project with a view to lowering operating costs, producing a consistent 100,000 ounces per annum within two years and increasing the project’s current resource inventory of 3.4 million ounces of gold at an average grade of 4.7 g/t through mine and regional exploration. In addition, with Tulla’s assistance, the Group is focussed on strengthening its Board and key management team to facilitate the onward development of the Norseman Gold Project, with the Group retaining ownership of the mine and equipment and overseeing manager performance.

Tulla, through its associated company, L2 Project Management – Norseman Pty Ltd (‘L2 PM’), is currently developing a defined strategy and mine plan for three years based on profitability, which we hope to update shareholders on in the next quarter report due by the end of April 2012. Its initial forward plan outlined in the announcement dated 16 February 2012, indicated that it believed a relatively early turnaround in operations was achievable. The Norseman Gold Project’s ability to generate significant revenues has been demonstrated by its previous performance, when in 2009, at a time when only two of the mines were operational, a total of c. 80,000 ounces of gold was produced. In order to rapidly increase the financial performance of the project and husband cash reserves, the decision was made to put the under-performing Bullen and OK mines on care and maintenance until the review has been completed. This does not mean the Group has abandoned these mines, but provides it with the flexibility to fully re-assess the mine plan and ensure it can be optimised while preventing the drain on cash reserves created by under-performing mines.

I guess time will tell if new management with an eye for cutting costs and a defined strategy and mine plan coupled with a bullish outlook for the price of gold can see Norseman bounce back into profitability. The price certainly is attractive.

I for one eagerly await the next quarterly report due out by the end of April.

Thanks again for dropping by.

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A Little Look at Alecto

We bought a bunch of Alecto Energy back in November 2010, our reasons then were speculative but simple:

“Alecto has been awarded three gold and copper mining and two uranium mining licenses in the Mauritanide mobile belt of Mauritania and there’s the possibility of more good news on the horizon.”

Since we jumped on board, trading in Alecto has been within a range of between three and four-and-a-half pence a share. Volumes are probably slightly down on where they were six months ago but without doing too much homework on the matter, I reckon that’s probably true across the board for AIM shares for the period.

In fact, looking back with a little hindsight at the beginning of 2011 purely from a price perspective, Alecto has fared pretty well, managing to hang on to most of the big gains of October 2010 and being – in my humble opinion – in a good position to add to those gains again later this year.

We’ve had a couple of spikes on good news but profit takers have bailed out quickly and more than once on a good news day, Alecto has closed lower than it started out.

Following on from Alecto’s final results announced in April (which we spoke about at the time), Alecto has kept the information flow to investors coming with two positive exploration updates from Mauritania, an acquisition of 80% of a 191 square kilometre gold exploration licence in the highly prospective Ashanti Gold Belt in Ghana and most recently, the acquisition of 100% of the issued share capital of Nubian Gold Exploration Limited, which holds a 1,953 square kilometre gold exploration licence in the highly prospective Aysid-Metekel region of north western Ethiopia.

And there’s nothing like a name change (Alecto Energy to Alecto Minerals) to thow a little investor attention your way.

Cash in the bank as reported in their 2010 results was a healthy £2.37M – although obviously this will have dwindled since.

And then there’s Alecto’s 9.73% shareholding in AIM listed resource investment company Charles Street Capital plc which should (the company says) “provide Alecto with exposure to a diverse range of potential resource projects” going forward.

So Alecto’s African assets now include highly prospective projects in recognised highly prospective mineral districts in Mauritania, Ghana and now Ethiopia. They’re not shy when it comes to updating investors and lately there’s been more than enough coming from Alecto to make this a handy hold for this small-time investor who’s expecting some nice gains in the coming 12 months.

As always, please do a ton of your own homework and never invest any money you can’t afford to lose. I’m an amateur investor with a penchant for a speculative punt who’s possibly lost more than he’s won over the journey, so please double check anything I say before considering it fact.

Thanks again for dropping by, may your portfolios swim in a sea of upward pointing arrows.

A Golden Update

It’s been a bit of a rocky road for our gold play over the past few weeks since we got on board in late April at just a notch above $1,500 an ounce. The one month chart (below – courtesy of SharePrice.co.uk) shows the spot price for gold rocketed to over $1,560 an ounce in late April before returning those gains (and then some) sharpish in the first fortnight of May.

The 12 month chart (below) makes for a little more optimistic viewing in the mid- to long-term but after taking a closer look at the three more substantial short-term downtrends (June through August 2010, January 2011 and now) I decided to top up my City Index trading account so as to put a more realistic stop loss in place.

So – in very rough terms – each of those three more sizeable downtrends in the past 12 months wiped the best part of 80 points off the spot price of gold. Now provided the long term price of gold continues to hold it’s upward trajectory, I need to be able to ride out a swing of that magnitude (at least early on) to stay in my trade and profit from what I expect to be longer term gains going forward.

Obviously there’s nothing to say that the next turn in trend won’t be a primary reversal rather than a short-term swing or that what’s happened in the past will happen again but that’s what I’ve punted on and that’s why I’ve allowed for a stop that will cater for more of the same magnitude of reversals that have taken place in the past 12 months. Historical data is about as a concrete as things get in this game.

For those who missed it, my original order was the purchase of gold (June 2011) at £10 a point at $1,502 per ounce. To begin with I had an overly optimistic stop in place at $1,492 per ounce. A tight stop is fine if a trade kicks off in your favour straight from the off but can have you stopped out in less time than it takes to put the kettle on if things turn against you straight away. Thankfully, in the case of this particular trade things went well to begin with and my more realistic updated stop of $1,416 an ounce has seen me weather the latest 80 point drop from a price north of $1,560 an ounce.

There is definitely a little less optimism in commodities (particularly gold and silver) now than there was even a month ago and with the US dollar beginning to strengthen against the Euro, the Pound and the Yen it could be an interesting month or two coming up.

The bottom line as it stands, well, it could be better. After tasting gains in the region of £550 early on, we’re currently down around £260 on this trade. But in the world of commodity trading, it’s another trading day tomorrow, hell, with trading around the clock, it’s another trading day tomorrow, today somewhere.

If anyone’s looking to trade in gold, or any commodity for that matter, check out City Index for some of the tightest spreads and the best trading platform in the industry.

Thanks again for dropping by.

Buying Gold

So I’m up and running with my first financial spread bet for a while. The ghosts of financial spread betting failures past have been laid to rest with a renewed bout of reading and I’m ready to make my fortune (sic) trading commodities.

I popped 100 quid in my trading account (big spender) and I’ve bought gold at 10 pounds a point at $1,502 with a stop at $1,492.

The stop is a little closer than I’d like it but being an optimist (albeit one with only 100 quid in their account) I’ve opted for a larger bet and a closer stop rather than a smaller bet and a more distant stop. Hopefully I’ve covered some recent levels of minor resistance and I plan to keep an eye on things.

I’m using this bet as a bit of a taster bet to get me back into spread trading. To give me a reason to stare at candlesticks and a get a little more experience. Long term I’m pretty confident I know where gold’s heading – I don’t plan to sell gold for quite a while yet – it’s just the short term blips on the way that are waiting to trip me up with such a tight stop. We’ll see how we go.

So why gold? Now I’m so far from being an expert on trading anything metal it’s almost laughable, but when compared to trading FOREX I think there are probably a lot less definable macro-economic forces at work forging the price of gold.

I realise at a level, that pretty much everything is potentially a factor in determining pretty much anything that is traded globally, be it commodities or FOREX from rice to the ruble. But when trading a currency pair there just seems an inordinate amount of financial data that is spat out on a daily basis (I get the news feeds and can’t even keep up with the headlines) that can effect the relationship between two currencies.

Whilst – on the most basic of levels – in times of economic uncertainty, gold is a financial haven. And it’s pretty hard to argue – with the news blaring the Syrian situation in the background as I type – that these my friends, are economically uncertain times.

I know a little about charts and the five year chart (courtesy of our friends at SharePrice.co.uk) for gold makes for some pretty optimistic viewing (see below).

So with the markets closed for Easter, I’m currently 27 quid up on my inaugural gold trade, having been almost 64 quid up at one stage and dropping down probably 30 quid at another. Now I realise that 10 quid a point ain’t going to see me buying that Caribbean island any time in this financial year, but it’s nice to be back in the spread trading game with an open position that I’m kinda comfortable with.

If anyone’s looking to trade in gold, or any commodity for that matter, check out City Index for some of the tightest spreads and the best trading platform in the industry.

Thanks again for dropping by.

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Disclaimer: Investor Trader is the blog of a single, personal investor. The owner of this blog is not a citizen of the United Kingdom nor is he based in the United Kingdom and the blog is not hosted in the United Kingdom. The owner has never received any form of compensation for providing investment recommendations and has never in the past been employed in any capacity where he has provided investment recommendations. Investor Trader does not make investment recommendations and no information displayed on its pages should be considered as investment advice. Nothing on Investor Trader should be interpreted as a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or investments. All trades are first reported on Investor Trader at least a day or two after the fact (but more often a week or two), never live. Investor Trader is here to journal my attempts to make a few quid from the markets and possibly to entertain you a little into the bargain. Please, please, please, do your own piles of research and if you want good investment advice go out and find someone who does this sort of thing for a living (i.e. not me). Most of my investment decisions are based on gut feelings, hearsay, unfounded rumour and whether or not I like the cut of a company logo. You've been warned!
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