Posts Tagged ‘Indian Investment’

Powering India – OPG Power Ventures

Following a financial clemin of a year like 2011, it’s good to take a little time out to define at least one non-negotiable. A given. Something you can hang your hat on moving forward.

Here’s a starter for ten. India will consume all of the energy it produces in 2012. India’s energy gap is not breaking news. For a country with a population only second to China’s – 1,170 billion compared to China’s 1,338 billion in 2010 – and an enviable recent record of economic growth, India’s energy consumption figures compared to that of its northern neighbour, provide a glimpse of the chasm that exists between the two countries in terms of energy infrastructure.

To illustrate this point, take a look at the graph below which displays Energy Use (kg of oil equivalent per capita) for the period of 1971 to 2009 – data supplied by the International Energy Agency. Notice the divergence between the Chinese and Indian lines from 2002 through 2009.

Anyway, India knows all about its energy shortcomings and obviously they are working towards bridging the supply-demand gap moving forward. And that’s where we as investors can join the party.

Followers of Investor Trader may recall a share that we enjoyed a brief fling with back in 2010: OPG Power Ventures (OPG.L). Here was our reasoning at the time. We jumped in at 66 pence in August and out at 68 pence in November. We now think the time is right to re-visit OPG Power Ventures and here’s a few reasons why.

For the six months ended 30th September 2011, OPG’s revenue has risen 166% to £23.85m, whilst EBITDA has increased 34% to £6.34m. Cash and cash equivalents sit at a very healthy £66.84m. Check out OPG’s half year results at Interactive Investor for the whole picture.

Just this week, there’s been a little top-up from a director (I do mean little) – but it’s never a bad sign. And no surprise here, the share price sits at 35 pence – a third of the £1+ it began 2011 at.

Since November 2010 OPG has gone on to add that 77MW of capacity we touched on in our reasons to buy back in 2010, taking total annual capacity to 113MW. On the subject of capacity there’s more to come; much, much more. 552MW of fully-funded capacity in fact and all by the shank of 2013.

And looking further forward to 2015, OPG Power’s Chairman, Arvind Gupta, has a target capacity of 1,250MW in sight.

So with an Indian government hell bent on upping local energy production (with policies and tariffs in place to encourage just that) and an aggressive growth campaign taking shape, we think the time is right to take a closer look at OPG Power Ventures heading into 2012. Expect an OPG addition to our portfolio not too far down the track.

For those of you who’d like to dig a little deeper into OPG, here’s some recent articles from Stock Market Wire and Investors Chronicle.

Coming up in part two of Powering India we’ll take a closer look at another AIM-listed Indian energy company, with a grandiose vision and an environmental edge.

Until then, thanks for dropping by. I wish you all a healthy and prosperous 2012.

Sale – OPG Power Ventures

It’s been a busy fortnight and it ain’t over yet. On Tuesday we sold off our entire holding of OPG Power Ventures for 68 pence a share after buying in at 66 pence a share in April. With the meagre profit, we covered our dealing costs.

Mid to long term I have no doubt that the imbalance in supply and demand of Indian electricity will see OPG Power Ventures forge ahead but for the time being at least we have a couple of other more speculative plays for our coin.

Sometimes investing is like that. You’ve got to shuffle limited funds to where they’ll do best. “Opportunity cost Paul”, my economics lecturer would announce before piffing a duster at my head, “is the basic relationship between choice and scarcity”.

In our case the cash is scarce and the choice is a more speculative, short-term gain. Well, that’s the plan. Time will tell. But more on that early next week. Have a good weekend.

Purchase – OPG Power Ventures

Late last week we added OPG Power Ventures to the Investor Trader Radar with the view of dipping our toe in the under-supplied Indian power market.

As it panned out we were pretty quick on the draw, picking up 1,598 shares at 66 pence a share for a total outlay of £1,054.68 after selling off our remaining Eros International holdings and a little Renesola last Thursday.

We see a massive potential for growth with OPG and following a dip from their 90+ pence high late last year, now seemed as good a time as any to take the plunge.

Sale – Eros International

After adding OPG Power Ventures to the Investor Trader Radar we decided it was time to raise a little capital to facilitate a purchase.

We settled on liduidating the remaining tranche of our EROS International holdings for no better reason than we needed the dinero.

We were averaged into Eros International (EROS.L) at 105 pence and sold out at 165 pence turning a £180 profit on the final 300 shares we held.

We’ll be keeping an eye on Eros with the view of buying back on a dip if the opportunity arises.

On the Radar – OPG Power Ventures

After keeping a sneaky eye on OPG Power Ventures for the past few months, I’ve decided to to take the plunge and add it to the Investor Trader Radar.

OPG was set up in 2008 to develop, own and manage power generation facilities in India based on a prevailing and an expected electricity demand and supply imbalance in the country over the coming years.

To that end OPG have slowly but surely been building a decent head of steam. Modest beginnings saw a 19.4MW power plant come online early in Tamil Nadu, followed by a smaller 10MW plant in Chennai last year. Expansive plans for the future include a 77MW plant in Chennai and two 150MW plants in Gujarat by 2012 resulting in a massive increase in potential capacity.

The shares are off their 95 pence high from late last year and represent excellent mid-to-long-term value trading around the 65 pence mark.

If we can shuffle around some funds it could be time to take the OPG plunge and power up our portfolio, Indian style.


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Disclaimer: Investor Trader is the blog of a single, personal investor. The owner of this blog is not a citizen of the United Kingdom nor is he based in the United Kingdom and the blog is not hosted in the United Kingdom. The owner has never received any form of compensation for providing investment recommendations and has never in the past been employed in any capacity where he has provided investment recommendations. Investor Trader does not make investment recommendations and no information displayed on its pages should be considered as investment advice. Nothing on Investor Trader should be interpreted as a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or investments. All trades are first reported on Investor Trader at least a day or two after the fact (but more often a week or two), never live. Investor Trader is here to journal my attempts to make a few quid from the markets and possibly to entertain you a little into the bargain. Please, please, please, do your own piles of research and if you want good investment advice go out and find someone who does this sort of thing for a living (i.e. not me). Most of my investment decisions are based on gut feelings, hearsay, unfounded rumour and whether or not I like the cut of a company logo. You've been warned!
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